With a vast network of data and an extensive history of valuable data , we see connections previously hidden from view .
WEATHER UPDATE
you see . In this article ’ s case , you will read through a forecast for this winter based on the likely strength of La Niña from October through March . This doesn ’ t account for the dozens of other factors that will come into play — many may not appear as influences until later in the season . For example , atmospheric rivers that hit California and the West may not show any hint of forming until just a few weeks prior . Another example is much of the late-winter weather across the U . S . can depend on snow / ice amounts in Siberia and around the Nordic Region in the later fall — months before an impact develops on the U . S .
Still , knowing El Niño and La Niña are the biggest influences on winter , we can at least examine the winter outlook in general . Let us look at the images of winter precipitation and temperature . These are based on a select number of years ( analogs ) that best match the current situation ; years with
With a vast network of data and an extensive history of valuable data , we see connections previously hidden from view .
reliable data for this will go back to 1950 .
How could this outlook change as we get closer to winter ? The precipitation areas across the West may shift around ( perhaps shrinking and shifting northward ), and we may see an increase in moisture expected to the east from the Great Lakes to the Appalachians . Temperature patterns may become warmer for the Northern High Plains and cooler for the Southeast depending on some factors aside from La Niña , as I alluded to earlier .
What is looking most confident ? The odds strongly show drought growth , especially across the Central and Southern Plains — colder impact with potentially snowier months for those across the North . The start of next year ’ s growing season is likely much drier than how we started this past year . Buying today ’ s hay with a good supply and price point is advisable ; more feed will likely be needed next year .
Figure 2 Figure 3 www . NCBA . org NATIONAL CATTLEMEN 29